This race is pretty straightforward so, I will keep this short & simple.
I believe when a legitimate contender wins the Kentucky Derby, the horse more often than not comes back to run very well in the Preakness. (Running well defined as in the money).Although I didn’t bet Super Saver at the Derby (he was an underlay as far as I was concerned), I thought he was a very good horse who had a chance to improve and he did. Aside from the weather being better, I don’t see any of the four horses coming from the Kentucky Derby improving enough over the last two weeks to beat him. Nor do I see any of the new shooters as much of a threat. With that said, I don’t see any reason Super Saver should be off the board and I expect him to win. Super Saver is my top selection.
Betting Strategy: Super Saver is going to be a short price (much less than his 5/2 morning line). The best play is to try to take him and match him in an exacta with some long shots. Remember to do two tickets. One with Super Saver in first followed by some long shots and then one with Super Saver in the second slot and a couple of the long price horses on top.
Looking at Lucky: Yes, he is back. L@L is a professional racehorse. If for some reason his odds are higher than 5-1, make a substantial wager on him. I think it’s unlikely he wins, but given his high class and quality, if you see a price like that, you should definitely take it.
Long Shot Alert: #5 Yawanna Twist – As I’ve mentioned before, I like 3 year olds with paired figures (see my Derby post for explanation). YT qualifies. He could be sitting on a big race and ready to improve. He has a trainer who has been here before and an excellent pilot in Prado. I will probably put a substantial wager on him to Win & Place. Remember, the public is likely to give him much less of a chance than he really has. Do not take any less than 15-1 on this horse.
Trifecta Play: 7,8/ALL/ 7,8 & 7,8/7,8/ALL. $40 bet; It wont pay much, but you can tell all your friends how you hit the trifecta at the Preakness
